DAVE EPSTEIN
Here’s how and when the nor’easter will affect Mass.
LANE TURNER/GLOBE STAFF
Pedestrians crossed Congress Street as a snowfall turned over to rain in Boston in February.
The nor’easter is still on target to affect much of Southern New England with a wallop of snow and heavy rain.
There are some snow and rain showers around the area on Wednesday morning, bringing a coating to an inch of snow in some areas, but the main storm won’t arrive until late morning in Worcester and early afternoon in Boston.
It still looks as though Central and Western Massachusetts will get hit hard with 6 to 12 inches of snow, quickly ramping up to as much as 18 inches toward New Hampshire and Maine.
New York City is also going to see 6 to 12 inches of snow, affecting travel dramatically in that area.
How much snow?
The storm will likely drop anywhere from 1 to 3 inches south and north along the coastlines. That accumulation will ramp up to 3 to 6 inches as you move toward the 128 belt, and finally, 4 to 8 inches between Route 128 and I-495.
The heaviest snow will be seen farther west, though the storm is moving along a very tight gradient.
A wobble of 10 miles of the storm system could increase or decrease these amounts by a few inches. The models trended slightly east overnight, with a colder, snowier track, but not enough to changed the amount of snow forecast.
After some light precipitation this morning, the heaviest snow and rain will arrive this afternoon and ramp up from about 3 p.m. through midnight.
During that time, the rain-snow line can be expected to waffle a bit from 128 toward Boston. If the line moves into the city earlier in the evening, Boston will see higher snow totals. If the rain-snow line stays west of Route 128 for a longer period of time, less snow will hit the city.
NOAA-TAUNTON
The area in pink could still be more rain than snow — or vice versa.
After midnight, the precipitation will begin to taper off. It won’t completely end, but it will be much lighter.
When you wake up on Thursday, some snow showers may still be left on the radar, making for a morning commute that will be better than Wednesday evening’s, but still far from normal.
Power outages
The heavy, wet snow, combined with gusty winds, will lead to some power outages, especially in areas where the wind is strongest, like the coast, where winds could exceed 50 miles per hour.
MEMA reported Wednesday morning that about 1,000 customers were without power, down from roughly 400,000 over the weekend.
Coastal flooding
Some coastal communities have been experiencing flooding since Friday, when the last nor’easter hit the region.
There is a coastal flood advisory and coastal flood warning posted for the area, and the warning areas could see moderate flooding during high tide overnight.
Next storm
There is a chance of another nor’easter on Monday, but it’s way too early to know if it would affect us and whether it would be rain or snow. It could just go out to sea.
The weekend is looking quite nice with sunshine and pleasant early March temperatures.
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- Dave Epstein
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